Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting consistent forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Panama City's equatorial location at 9°N latitude drives this positioning, delivering steady solar insolation and minimal seasonal temperature swings, with April climatological averages of 32°C highs and rare dips below 29°C amid the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent daily observations at the airport over the past week mirror these norms at 31–33°C, bolstering confidence, though isolated convective showers could temper peaks slightly; hourly airport data releases will clarify resolution by evening local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 12?
32°C or higher 79%
31°C 19%
30°C 2.1%
29°C 1.9%
新規
新規
2026/04/12
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
79%
32°C or higher 79%
31°C 19%
30°C 2.1%
29°C 1.9%
新規
新規
2026/04/12
22°C or below
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,725 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$492 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$455 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$651 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$418 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$298 Vol.
1%
29°C
$564 Vol.
2%
30°C
$231 Vol.
2%
31°C
$296 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$571 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting consistent forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Panama City's equatorial location at 9°N latitude drives this positioning, delivering steady solar insolation and minimal seasonal temperature swings, with April climatological averages of 32°C highs and rare dips below 29°C amid the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent daily observations at the airport over the past week mirror these norms at 31–33°C, bolstering confidence, though isolated convective showers could temper peaks slightly; hourly airport data releases will clarify resolution by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ET
音量
$7,734終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting consistent forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Panama City's equatorial location at 9°N latitude drives this positioning, delivering steady solar insolation and minimal seasonal temperature swings, with April climatological averages of 32°C highs and rare dips below 29°C amid the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent daily observations at the airport over the past week mirror these norms at 31–33°C, bolstering confidence, though isolated convective showers could temper peaks slightly; hourly airport data releases will clarify resolution by evening local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,734終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:44 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 78% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C or higher at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport in Panama City, reflecting consistent forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS projecting daytime peaks around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. Panama City's equatorial location at 9°N latitude drives this positioning, delivering steady solar insolation and minimal seasonal temperature swings, with April climatological averages of 32°C highs and rare dips below 29°C amid the dry-to-wet season transition. Recent daily observations at the airport over the past week mirror these norms at 31–33°C, bolstering confidence, though isolated convective showers could temper peaks slightly; hourly airport data releases will clarify resolution by evening local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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