Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (98.7% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution models like the HRRR and RAP projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This warm spell follows a record-tying 80°F on April 10, fueled by downslope chinook winds, clear skies, and dry conditions under a Fire Weather Watch, well above the April 12 climatological normal of 61°F. Model ensembles show tight agreement with minimal spread, reflecting strong solar heating potential on the Front Range. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover disrupting insolation, though probabilities remain low as new hourly guidance emerges through resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 12?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 12?
68°F or higher 98.9%
66-67°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
49°F or below <1%
$20,788 Vol.
$20,788 Vol.
2026/04/12
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68°F or higher
99%
68°F or higher 98.9%
66-67°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
49°F or below <1%
$20,788 Vol.
$20,788 Vol.
2026/04/12
49°F or below
$2,419 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$2,000 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$1,712 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$1,695 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,990 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,874 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,463 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$827 Vol.
1%
68°F or higher
$2,144 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (98.7% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution models like the HRRR and RAP projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This warm spell follows a record-tying 80°F on April 10, fueled by downslope chinook winds, clear skies, and dry conditions under a Fire Weather Watch, well above the April 12 climatological normal of 61°F. Model ensembles show tight agreement with minimal spread, reflecting strong solar heating potential on the Front Range. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover disrupting insolation, though probabilities remain low as new hourly guidance emerges through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
音量
$20,788終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (98.7% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution models like the HRRR and RAP projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This warm spell follows a record-tying 80°F on April 10, fueled by downslope chinook winds, clear skies, and dry conditions under a Fire Weather Watch, well above the April 12 climatological normal of 61°F. Model ensembles show tight agreement with minimal spread, reflecting strong solar heating potential on the Front Range. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover disrupting insolation, though probabilities remain low as new hourly guidance emerges through resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$20,788終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Denver on April 12 (98.7% implied probability), driven by National Weather Service forecasts and high-resolution models like the HRRR and RAP projecting daytime highs in the low to mid-70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Rockies. This warm spell follows a record-tying 80°F on April 10, fueled by downslope chinook winds, clear skies, and dry conditions under a Fire Weather Watch, well above the April 12 climatological normal of 61°F. Model ensembles show tight agreement with minimal spread, reflecting strong solar heating potential on the Front Range. Realistic challenges include an unexpected influx of cooler monsoon moisture or increased cloud cover disrupting insolation, though probabilities remain low as new hourly guidance emerges through resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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