Trader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 12?
31°C 32%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 9.3%
$48,966 Vol.
$48,966 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
32%
32°C
28%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 28%
30°C 17%
33°C 9.3%
$48,966 Vol.
$48,966 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
32%
32°C
28%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus closely splits between 31°C (31.5%) and 32°C (29.0%) for Taipei's highest temperature on April 12, driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 23–31°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated afternoon showers and light winds conducive to peak heating around 2–4 p.m. Differentiating factors include the urban heat island effect boosting temperatures 1–2°C above rural areas, strong solar insolation from a high-pressure ridge, and potential sea breeze moderation or brief cloud cover capping peaks near 30–31°C, as reflected in ensemble model spreads from sources like PredictWind (28°C) and international forecasts (30–31°C). Historical April maxima average 26°C, but above-normal conditions prevail; final CWA hourly updates and station readings tomorrow hold key resolution risks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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