Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a Seoul-area high of 25°C on April 13 at Incheon International Airport Station—driving elevated odds on 23°C or higher (18.5%)—but trader consensus clusters around 19°C (26% implied probability) amid model discrepancies and recent verification shortfalls. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show spreads of 18–22°C, influenced by a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection, offset by lingering cloud cover from early April's cooler-than-normal pattern (highs 2–3°C below guidance on April 9–11). Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, heightening uncertainty in peak intensity. New KMA updates and model runs expected April 12 will clarify steering patterns and cloud breaks before resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日のソウルの最高気温は？
4月13日のソウルの最高気温は？
19°C 25%
21℃ 18%
20°C 16%
23℃以上 13%
$61,988 Vol.
$61,988 Vol.
2026/04/13
13℃以下
2%
14℃
1%
15℃
2%
16℃
2%
17°C
7%
18℃
11%
19°C
25%
20°C
16%
21℃
18%
22°C
11%
23℃以上
13%
19°C 25%
21℃ 18%
20°C 16%
23℃以上 13%
$61,988 Vol.
$61,988 Vol.
2026/04/13
13℃以下
$7,258 Vol.
2%
14℃
$5,027 Vol.
1%
15℃
$5,266 Vol.
2%
16℃
$5,607 Vol.
2%
17°C
$7,538 Vol.
7%
18℃
$6,218 Vol.
11%
19°C
$2,882 Vol.
25%
20°C
$2,522 Vol.
16%
21℃
$4,291 Vol.
18%
22°C
$4,513 Vol.
11%
23℃以上
$10,994 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a Seoul-area high of 25°C on April 13 at Incheon International Airport Station—driving elevated odds on 23°C or higher (18.5%)—but trader consensus clusters around 19°C (26% implied probability) amid model discrepancies and recent verification shortfalls. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show spreads of 18–22°C, influenced by a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection, offset by lingering cloud cover from early April's cooler-than-normal pattern (highs 2–3°C below guidance on April 9–11). Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, heightening uncertainty in peak intensity. New KMA updates and model runs expected April 12 will clarify steering patterns and cloud breaks before resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$61,988終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a Seoul-area high of 25°C on April 13 at Incheon International Airport Station—driving elevated odds on 23°C or higher (18.5%)—but trader consensus clusters around 19°C (26% implied probability) amid model discrepancies and recent verification shortfalls. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show spreads of 18–22°C, influenced by a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection, offset by lingering cloud cover from early April's cooler-than-normal pattern (highs 2–3°C below guidance on April 9–11). Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, heightening uncertainty in peak intensity. New KMA updates and model runs expected April 12 will clarify steering patterns and cloud breaks before resolution via Wunderground data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$61,988終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a Seoul-area high of 25°C on April 13 at Incheon International Airport Station—driving elevated odds on 23°C or higher (18.5%)—but trader consensus clusters around 19°C (26% implied probability) amid model discrepancies and recent verification shortfalls. ECMWF and GFS ensembles show spreads of 18–22°C, influenced by a building high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection, offset by lingering cloud cover from early April's cooler-than-normal pattern (highs 2–3°C below guidance on April 9–11). Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, heightening uncertainty in peak intensity. New KMA updates and model runs expected April 12 will clarify steering patterns and cloud breaks before resolution via Wunderground data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問