Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 12?
22°C 47%
21°C 32%
20°C 10.1%
23°C or higher 10%
$18,042 Vol.
$18,042 Vol.
2026/04/12
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
10%
21°C
32%
22°C
47%
23°C or higher
10%
22°C 47%
21°C 32%
20°C 10.1%
23°C or higher 10%
$18,042 Vol.
$18,042 Vol.
2026/04/12
13°C or below
$941 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,955 Vol.
1%
15°C
$737 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$873 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,018 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,035 Vol.
1%
19°C
$2,381 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,516 Vol.
10%
21°C
$1,451 Vol.
32%
22°C
$1,806 Vol.
47%
23°C or higher
$3,330 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$18,042終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,042終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 22°C (47% implied probability) or 21°C (32%) in Tel Aviv on April 12, driven by the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and converging global forecast models including ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime maximum near 22°C under persistent mild Mediterranean high-pressure patterns. Recent observational data from the past week show consistent highs of 20–21°C, aligning with April climatology where Tel Aviv averages 22–23°C amid low interannual variability and coastal influences. Minor uncertainties from sea breeze intensification or patchy clouds could moderate peaks to 21°C, while 23°C or higher remains unlikely (10%) absent unexpected warming. Official measurements from monitoring stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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