Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 22–23°C, with trader sentiment closely split due to high uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, which could suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show a warm anomaly, including a 26°C high on April 11 amid clearer skies, but incoming frontal systems signal cooling, with model spreads encompassing 20–25°C outcomes. April climatology averages 22°C highs in the Sichuan Basin, where topographic effects amplify variability; watch CMA updates and new model runs on April 12 for potential shifts ahead of resolution using official Chengdu Shuangliu Airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
22°C 28%
23°C 26%
21°C 16%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
28%
23°C
26%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 28%
23°C 26%
21°C 16%
24°C 16%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
28%
23°C
26%
24°C
16%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS indicate Chengdu's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 22–23°C, with trader sentiment closely split due to high uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation probabilities exceeding 70%, which could suppress daytime heating through reduced solar insolation. Recent observations show a warm anomaly, including a 26°C high on April 11 amid clearer skies, but incoming frontal systems signal cooling, with model spreads encompassing 20–25°C outcomes. April climatology averages 22°C highs in the Sichuan Basin, where topographic effects amplify variability; watch CMA updates and new model runs on April 12 for potential shifts ahead of resolution using official Chengdu Shuangliu Airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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