Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) guidance highlighting persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F and strengthening onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent observations show an April 10 high of 66°F with partial clearing, but April 9's cooler 55°F and incoming upper-level trough signal a return to typical mid-April norms around 60°F amid partly cloudy skies and low shower risks. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement on upper-50s peaks, though stratus burn-off timing could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
58-59°F 36%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 20%
54-55°F 9.0%
新規
新規
2026/04/12
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
9%
56-57°F
24%
58-59°F
36%
60-61°F
20%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
3%
66°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 36%
56-57°F 24%
60-61°F 20%
54-55°F 9.0%
新規
新規
2026/04/12
47°F or below
$930 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$2,241 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$777 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$371 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$748 Vol.
9%
56-57°F
$350 Vol.
24%
58-59°F
$422 Vol.
36%
60-61°F
$634 Vol.
20%
62-63°F
$423 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$360 Vol.
3%
66°F or higher
$686 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) guidance highlighting persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F and strengthening onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent observations show an April 10 high of 66°F with partial clearing, but April 9's cooler 55°F and incoming upper-level trough signal a return to typical mid-April norms around 60°F amid partly cloudy skies and low shower risks. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement on upper-50s peaks, though stratus burn-off timing could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
音量
$7,925終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) guidance highlighting persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F and strengthening onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent observations show an April 10 high of 66°F with partial clearing, but April 9's cooler 55°F and incoming upper-level trough signal a return to typical mid-April norms around 60°F amid partly cloudy skies and low shower risks. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement on upper-50s peaks, though stratus burn-off timing could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,925終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) guidance highlighting persistent marine layer stratus from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures near 55°F and strengthening onshore winds suppressing daytime heating. Recent observations show an April 10 high of 66°F with partial clearing, but April 9's cooler 55°F and incoming upper-level trough signal a return to typical mid-April norms around 60°F amid partly cloudy skies and low shower risks. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF exhibit tight agreement on upper-50s peaks, though stratus burn-off timing could nudge outcomes toward 60-61°F; monitor hourly NWS updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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