Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
28%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
16%
66°F or higher
13%
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 24%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/13
47°F or below
$520 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,152 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$461 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$794 Vol.
1%
54-55°F
$365 Vol.
2%
56-57°F
$358 Vol.
8%
58-59°F
$545 Vol.
24%
60-61°F
$328 Vol.
28%
62-63°F
$252 Vol.
21%
64-65°F
$258 Vol.
16%
66°F or higher
$499 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
音量
$5,527終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,527終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問