Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project peak temperatures of 25-27°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 12, fueling the tight race among these outcomes with trader-implied odds clustered around 26-88% combined. Yesterday's high capped at 24°C or below amid fine conditions, but a sharp warming trend under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and increasing spring solar insolation has shifted guidance upward, with low humidity aiding daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler at ~25°C versus GFS warmer runs near 27°C—and uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or light winds that could cap or boost the diurnal maximum. Hourly CMA updates today will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
25°C 24%
24°C 10%
$23,579 Vol.
$23,579 Vol.
2026/04/12
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
10%
25°C
24%
26°C
34%
27°C
30%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
27°C 30%
25°C 24%
24°C 10%
$23,579 Vol.
$23,579 Vol.
2026/04/12
21°C or below
$4,360 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,100 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,758 Vol.
1%
24°C
$2,158 Vol.
10%
25°C
$1,284 Vol.
24%
26°C
$1,284 Vol.
34%
27°C
$1,344 Vol.
30%
28°C
$2,027 Vol.
5%
29°C
$2,059 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,244 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,966 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project peak temperatures of 25-27°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 12, fueling the tight race among these outcomes with trader-implied odds clustered around 26-88% combined. Yesterday's high capped at 24°C or below amid fine conditions, but a sharp warming trend under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and increasing spring solar insolation has shifted guidance upward, with low humidity aiding daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler at ~25°C versus GFS warmer runs near 27°C—and uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or light winds that could cap or boost the diurnal maximum. Hourly CMA updates today will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$23,579終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project peak temperatures of 25-27°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 12, fueling the tight race among these outcomes with trader-implied odds clustered around 26-88% combined. Yesterday's high capped at 24°C or below amid fine conditions, but a sharp warming trend under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and increasing spring solar insolation has shifted guidance upward, with low humidity aiding daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler at ~25°C versus GFS warmer runs near 27°C—and uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or light winds that could cap or boost the diurnal maximum. Hourly CMA updates today will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$23,579終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS project peak temperatures of 25-27°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on April 12, fueling the tight race among these outcomes with trader-implied odds clustered around 26-88% combined. Yesterday's high capped at 24°C or below amid fine conditions, but a sharp warming trend under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and increasing spring solar insolation has shifted guidance upward, with low humidity aiding daytime heating. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler at ~25°C versus GFS warmer runs near 27°C—and uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or light winds that could cap or boost the diurnal maximum. Hourly CMA updates today will refine probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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