National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 82–85°F on April 13, supporting trader consensus with 51% implied probability on 84°F or higher amid a warm, humid pattern featuring southerly flow and partial upper-level ridging. Recent showers and thunderstorms across Central Texas over the past week, including weekend severe risks with hail and gusty winds, have boosted odds for slightly cooler outcomes like 82–83°F (25%) and 80–81°F (18%) by increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances that could limit daytime heating. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center favors above-normal April temperatures following March's record heat, though model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on exact peak heating. Watch NWS updates Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution via Austin-Bergstrom observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
84°F or higher 52%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 16%
76-77°F 3.9%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
27%
84°F or higher
52%
84°F or higher 52%
82-83°F 27%
80-81°F 16%
76-77°F 3.9%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
27%
84°F or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 82–85°F on April 13, supporting trader consensus with 51% implied probability on 84°F or higher amid a warm, humid pattern featuring southerly flow and partial upper-level ridging. Recent showers and thunderstorms across Central Texas over the past week, including weekend severe risks with hail and gusty winds, have boosted odds for slightly cooler outcomes like 82–83°F (25%) and 80–81°F (18%) by increasing cloud cover and precipitation chances that could limit daytime heating. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center favors above-normal April temperatures following March's record heat, though model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on exact peak heating. Watch NWS updates Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution via Austin-Bergstrom observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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