The National Weather Service's latest forecast points to a high near 82°F in Austin on April 12, anchoring trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid an unsettled pattern with southwesterly flow aloft favoring warm advection. Recent developments, including increased rain chances and severe storm potential over the April 11-12 weekend from a deepening low-pressure system, have introduced modest uncertainty—30-50% odds of showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks via cloud cover—but major models like GFS and ECMWF maintain highs in the low 80s despite heavy rain threats. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 80°F; watch for this afternoon's NWS updates and evening soundings ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 12?
76°F or higher 77%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 3.8%
70-71°F 1.6%
$13,986 Vol.
$13,986 Vol.
2026/04/12
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
15%
76°F or higher
73%
76°F or higher 77%
74-75°F 15%
72-73°F 3.8%
70-71°F 1.6%
$13,986 Vol.
$13,986 Vol.
2026/04/12
57°F or below
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,460 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,101 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$590 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$1,038 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$1,040 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$996 Vol.
15%
76°F or higher
$1,857 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast points to a high near 82°F in Austin on April 12, anchoring trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid an unsettled pattern with southwesterly flow aloft favoring warm advection. Recent developments, including increased rain chances and severe storm potential over the April 11-12 weekend from a deepening low-pressure system, have introduced modest uncertainty—30-50% odds of showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks via cloud cover—but major models like GFS and ECMWF maintain highs in the low 80s despite heavy rain threats. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 80°F; watch for this afternoon's NWS updates and evening soundings ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
音量
$13,986終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast points to a high near 82°F in Austin on April 12, anchoring trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid an unsettled pattern with southwesterly flow aloft favoring warm advection. Recent developments, including increased rain chances and severe storm potential over the April 11-12 weekend from a deepening low-pressure system, have introduced modest uncertainty—30-50% odds of showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks via cloud cover—but major models like GFS and ECMWF maintain highs in the low 80s despite heavy rain threats. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 80°F; watch for this afternoon's NWS updates and evening soundings ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$13,986終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThe National Weather Service's latest forecast points to a high near 82°F in Austin on April 12, anchoring trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for 76°F or higher amid an unsettled pattern with southwesterly flow aloft favoring warm advection. Recent developments, including increased rain chances and severe storm potential over the April 11-12 weekend from a deepening low-pressure system, have introduced modest uncertainty—30-50% odds of showers or thunderstorms could cap peaks via cloud cover—but major models like GFS and ECMWF maintain highs in the low 80s despite heavy rain threats. April climatology supports this, with average highs near 80°F; watch for this afternoon's NWS updates and evening soundings ahead of resolution at Austin-Bergstrom Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問