Met Office's latest forecast points to a 14°C high in London on April 13—the top trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability—following the exceptional early-April heatwave that peaked at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens but has shifted to cooler, Atlantic-influenced patterns with sunny intervals and increasing showers. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on this near-average outcome amid light winds (gusts to 18mph) and 50% midday precipitation risk, explaining the spread: persistent cloud and rain favor 13°C (21.5%) or 12°C (11.7%), while sunnier breaks could push to 15°C (23.5%) or 16°C+ (16%). Spring variability in frontal timing and insolation drives uncertainty; watch overnight model updates and morning advisories for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日のロンドンの最高気温は?
4月13日のロンドンの最高気温は?
14℃ 37%
15℃ 25%
13°C 24%
16℃以上 14%
$27,312 Vol.
$27,312 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9℃
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12℃
10%
13°C
24%
14℃
37%
15℃
25%
16℃以上
14%
14℃ 37%
15℃ 25%
13°C 24%
16℃以上 14%
$27,312 Vol.
$27,312 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9℃
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12℃
10%
13°C
24%
14℃
37%
15℃
25%
16℃以上
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office's latest forecast points to a 14°C high in London on April 13—the top trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability—following the exceptional early-April heatwave that peaked at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens but has shifted to cooler, Atlantic-influenced patterns with sunny intervals and increasing showers. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS align on this near-average outcome amid light winds (gusts to 18mph) and 50% midday precipitation risk, explaining the spread: persistent cloud and rain favor 13°C (21.5%) or 12°C (11.7%), while sunnier breaks could push to 15°C (23.5%) or 16°C+ (16%). Spring variability in frontal timing and insolation drives uncertainty; watch overnight model updates and morning advisories for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問