Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's April 13 high temperature at 29-31°C at Bao'an International Airport, under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and maximal diurnal solar heating—elevating trader-implied odds evenly across these outcomes at 21-25%. Recent observations confirm the warming trend, with April 10-11 peaks hitting 30-32°C amid departing frontal clouds, surpassing the climatological April average of 26°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon sea-breeze cooling versus urban heat island effects and isolated convection risks, with 1-2°C spreads in model guidance creating the tight market sentiment. New runs expected twice daily on April 12 will refine resolution odds before official measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
30°C 26%
31°C 23%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
$10,098 Vol.
$10,098 Vol.
2026/04/13
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
23%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 26%
31°C 23%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
$10,098 Vol.
$10,098 Vol.
2026/04/13
22°C or below
$515 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$446 Vol.
1%
25°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,005 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,922 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,059 Vol.
21%
29°C
$252 Vol.
24%
30°C
$264 Vol.
24%
31°C
$488 Vol.
23%
32°C or higher
$574 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's April 13 high temperature at 29-31°C at Bao'an International Airport, under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and maximal diurnal solar heating—elevating trader-implied odds evenly across these outcomes at 21-25%. Recent observations confirm the warming trend, with April 10-11 peaks hitting 30-32°C amid departing frontal clouds, surpassing the climatological April average of 26°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon sea-breeze cooling versus urban heat island effects and isolated convection risks, with 1-2°C spreads in model guidance creating the tight market sentiment. New runs expected twice daily on April 12 will refine resolution odds before official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$10,098終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's April 13 high temperature at 29-31°C at Bao'an International Airport, under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and maximal diurnal solar heating—elevating trader-implied odds evenly across these outcomes at 21-25%. Recent observations confirm the warming trend, with April 10-11 peaks hitting 30-32°C amid departing frontal clouds, surpassing the climatological April average of 26°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon sea-breeze cooling versus urban heat island effects and isolated convection risks, with 1-2°C spreads in model guidance creating the tight market sentiment. New runs expected twice daily on April 12 will refine resolution odds before official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,098終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's April 13 high temperature at 29-31°C at Bao'an International Airport, under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and maximal diurnal solar heating—elevating trader-implied odds evenly across these outcomes at 21-25%. Recent observations confirm the warming trend, with April 10-11 peaks hitting 30-32°C amid departing frontal clouds, surpassing the climatological April average of 26°C. Key differentiators include potential afternoon sea-breeze cooling versus urban heat island effects and isolated convection risks, with 1-2°C spreads in model guidance creating the tight market sentiment. New runs expected twice daily on April 12 will refine resolution odds before official measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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