The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C for April 12 under a persistent southerly airstream transporting warm air from the Guangdong coast, fostering hot conditions with sunny intervals and minimal isolated showers. This model consensus positions trader sentiment around 28°C (43% implied probability) and 27°C (31.4%), reflecting the forecast's central range amid above-normal April temperatures climatologically averaging 25–26°C maxima. Low odds for 30°C+ (5.5%) stem from absent heat dome signals or subsidence, while sub-26°C outcomes (<3%) are unlikely given light winds and diurnal heating. Uncertainties persist in exact peak timing; monitor HKO's next bulletin for refinements as observations evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 12?
28°C 46%
27°C 31.5%
29°C 18%
30°C or higher 5%
$35,347 Vol.
$35,347 Vol.
2026/04/12
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
32%
28°C
46%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
5%
28°C 46%
27°C 31.5%
29°C 18%
30°C or higher 5%
$35,347 Vol.
$35,347 Vol.
2026/04/12
20°C or below
$2,096 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,451 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,147 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,114 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,222 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,769 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5,339 Vol.
2%
27°C
$4,857 Vol.
32%
28°C
$1,877 Vol.
46%
29°C
$3,027 Vol.
18%
30°C or higher
$3,472 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C for April 12 under a persistent southerly airstream transporting warm air from the Guangdong coast, fostering hot conditions with sunny intervals and minimal isolated showers. This model consensus positions trader sentiment around 28°C (43% implied probability) and 27°C (31.4%), reflecting the forecast's central range amid above-normal April temperatures climatologically averaging 25–26°C maxima. Low odds for 30°C+ (5.5%) stem from absent heat dome signals or subsidence, while sub-26°C outcomes (<3%) are unlikely given light winds and diurnal heating. Uncertainties persist in exact peak timing; monitor HKO's next bulletin for refinements as observations evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$35,347終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C for April 12 under a persistent southerly airstream transporting warm air from the Guangdong coast, fostering hot conditions with sunny intervals and minimal isolated showers. This model consensus positions trader sentiment around 28°C (43% implied probability) and 27°C (31.4%), reflecting the forecast's central range amid above-normal April temperatures climatologically averaging 25–26°C maxima. Low odds for 30°C+ (5.5%) stem from absent heat dome signals or subsidence, while sub-26°C outcomes (<3%) are unlikely given light winds and diurnal heating. Uncertainties persist in exact peak timing; monitor HKO's next bulletin for refinements as observations evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$35,347終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated early on April 11, projects a daytime high of 26–29°C for April 12 under a persistent southerly airstream transporting warm air from the Guangdong coast, fostering hot conditions with sunny intervals and minimal isolated showers. This model consensus positions trader sentiment around 28°C (43% implied probability) and 27°C (31.4%), reflecting the forecast's central range amid above-normal April temperatures climatologically averaging 25–26°C maxima. Low odds for 30°C+ (5.5%) stem from absent heat dome signals or subsidence, while sub-26°C outcomes (<3%) are unlikely given light winds and diurnal heating. Uncertainties persist in exact peak timing; monitor HKO's next bulletin for refinements as observations evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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