Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 74°F or higher in Chicago on April 13 (89% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting afternoon highs near 75°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Midwest. This setup promotes warm southerly flow and subsidence, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F at O'Hare International Airport, Chicago's official recording station. Recent developments include a warm-up pattern solidified over the past 48 hours, following multiple 70°F+ days earlier in April—already the third-most such days by early month per local records—and aligning with NOAA's warmer-than-average 2026 spring outlook. While lake breeze effects or stray clouds could shave 2-3°F off peaks, model agreement remains strong ahead of Sunday's resolution; watch NWS updates Saturday for any shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
74°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 6.8%
70-71°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
$28,366 Vol.
$28,366 Vol.
2026/04/13
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
7%
74°F or higher
89%
74°F or higher 89%
72-73°F 6.8%
70-71°F 1.1%
68-69°F <1%
$28,366 Vol.
$28,366 Vol.
2026/04/13
55°F or below
$3,780 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,174 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,266 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,446 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,186 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,348 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$3,456 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$2,784 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$2,217 Vol.
7%
74°F or higher
$3,407 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 74°F or higher in Chicago on April 13 (89% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting afternoon highs near 75°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Midwest. This setup promotes warm southerly flow and subsidence, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F at O'Hare International Airport, Chicago's official recording station. Recent developments include a warm-up pattern solidified over the past 48 hours, following multiple 70°F+ days earlier in April—already the third-most such days by early month per local records—and aligning with NOAA's warmer-than-average 2026 spring outlook. While lake breeze effects or stray clouds could shave 2-3°F off peaks, model agreement remains strong ahead of Sunday's resolution; watch NWS updates Saturday for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$28,366終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 74°F or higher in Chicago on April 13 (89% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting afternoon highs near 75°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Midwest. This setup promotes warm southerly flow and subsidence, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F at O'Hare International Airport, Chicago's official recording station. Recent developments include a warm-up pattern solidified over the past 48 hours, following multiple 70°F+ days earlier in April—already the third-most such days by early month per local records—and aligning with NOAA's warmer-than-average 2026 spring outlook. While lake breeze effects or stray clouds could shave 2-3°F off peaks, model agreement remains strong ahead of Sunday's resolution; watch NWS updates Saturday for any shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,366終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 74°F or higher in Chicago on April 13 (89% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting afternoon highs near 75°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over the Midwest. This setup promotes warm southerly flow and subsidence, pushing temperatures 15-20°F above the April 13 climatological normal of 58°F at O'Hare International Airport, Chicago's official recording station. Recent developments include a warm-up pattern solidified over the past 48 hours, following multiple 70°F+ days earlier in April—already the third-most such days by early month per local records—and aligning with NOAA's warmer-than-average 2026 spring outlook. While lake breeze effects or stray clouds could shave 2-3°F off peaks, model agreement remains strong ahead of Sunday's resolution; watch NWS updates Saturday for any shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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