MetService's latest extended forecast projects a daytime high of 18°C for Wellington on April 14 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer air from the Tasman Sea, scattered showers, and an approaching frontal boundary shifting to cooler southerlies later in the day. This aligns with closely matched trader-implied probabilities for 17–19°C (80% combined), reflecting model consensus on mild autumn conditions where downslope warming from westerlies boosts peaks but cloud cover and precipitation cap extremes. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival favors 17°C, delay allows 19°C—and shower intensity reducing solar insolation. Historical April highs average 17°C; updated MetService guidance due April 13 could refine odds amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wellington on April 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 14?
17°C 36%
18°C 35%
16°C 16%
19°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
11°C or below
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
32%
18°C
35%
19°C
23%
20°C
7%
21°C or higher
9%
17°C 36%
18°C 35%
16°C 16%
19°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
11°C or below
$266 Vol.
1%
12°C
$769 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,213 Vol.
2%
14°C
$168 Vol.
1%
15°C
$49 Vol.
4%
16°C
$42 Vol.
16%
17°C
$57 Vol.
32%
18°C
$143 Vol.
35%
19°C
$79 Vol.
23%
20°C
$73 Vol.
7%
21°C or higher
$24 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast projects a daytime high of 18°C for Wellington on April 14 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer air from the Tasman Sea, scattered showers, and an approaching frontal boundary shifting to cooler southerlies later in the day. This aligns with closely matched trader-implied probabilities for 17–19°C (80% combined), reflecting model consensus on mild autumn conditions where downslope warming from westerlies boosts peaks but cloud cover and precipitation cap extremes. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival favors 17°C, delay allows 19°C—and shower intensity reducing solar insolation. Historical April highs average 17°C; updated MetService guidance due April 13 could refine odds amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
音量
$2,839終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest extended forecast projects a daytime high of 18°C for Wellington on April 14 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer air from the Tasman Sea, scattered showers, and an approaching frontal boundary shifting to cooler southerlies later in the day. This aligns with closely matched trader-implied probabilities for 17–19°C (80% combined), reflecting model consensus on mild autumn conditions where downslope warming from westerlies boosts peaks but cloud cover and precipitation cap extremes. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival favors 17°C, delay allows 19°C—and shower intensity reducing solar insolation. Historical April highs average 17°C; updated MetService guidance due April 13 could refine odds amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,839終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETMetService's latest extended forecast projects a daytime high of 18°C for Wellington on April 14 amid strong northwesterlies ushering warmer air from the Tasman Sea, scattered showers, and an approaching frontal boundary shifting to cooler southerlies later in the day. This aligns with closely matched trader-implied probabilities for 17–19°C (80% combined), reflecting model consensus on mild autumn conditions where downslope warming from westerlies boosts peaks but cloud cover and precipitation cap extremes. Key differentiators include frontal timing—earlier arrival favors 17°C, delay allows 19°C—and shower intensity reducing solar insolation. Historical April highs average 17°C; updated MetService guidance due April 13 could refine odds amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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