Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 14, aligned with the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting a peak near 94°F (34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. This reflects persistent dry season conditions, including high pressure ridges, reduced convective activity from northeast trade winds, and ample solar insolation enabling strong daytime heating above the April climatological average of 89°F. Over the past week, observed highs have consistently hit 90–94°F with negligible rainfall, solidifying trader confidence in the hot outcome. Updated model runs expected by April 13 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on April 14?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 14?
33°C or higher 74%
32°C 21%
24°C 18%
29°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
23°C or below
5%
24°C
18%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
9%
29°C
17%
30°C
17%
31°C
12%
32°C
21%
33°C or higher
80%
33°C or higher 74%
32°C 21%
24°C 18%
29°C 17%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
23°C or below
$64 Vol.
5%
24°C
$82 Vol.
18%
25°C
$0 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
9%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$0 Vol.
17%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C or higher
$17 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 14, aligned with the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting a peak near 94°F (34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. This reflects persistent dry season conditions, including high pressure ridges, reduced convective activity from northeast trade winds, and ample solar insolation enabling strong daytime heating above the April climatological average of 89°F. Over the past week, observed highs have consistently hit 90–94°F with negligible rainfall, solidifying trader confidence in the hot outcome. Updated model runs expected by April 13 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
音量
$17終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:33 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 14, aligned with the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting a peak near 94°F (34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. This reflects persistent dry season conditions, including high pressure ridges, reduced convective activity from northeast trade winds, and ample solar insolation enabling strong daytime heating above the April climatological average of 89°F. Over the past week, observed highs have consistently hit 90–94°F with negligible rainfall, solidifying trader confidence in the hot outcome. Updated model runs expected by April 13 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$17終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:33 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for a high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on April 14, aligned with the latest forecast models from AccuWeather and Weather.com projecting a peak near 94°F (34°C) at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport station. This reflects persistent dry season conditions, including high pressure ridges, reduced convective activity from northeast trade winds, and ample solar insolation enabling strong daytime heating above the April climatological average of 89°F. Over the past week, observed highs have consistently hit 90–94°F with negligible rainfall, solidifying trader confidence in the hot outcome. Updated model runs expected by April 13 could refine probabilities amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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