National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a daytime high near 80°F on April 14 under mostly cloudy skies with 20-70% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward nearby bins like 82-83°F (35% implied probability) and 80-81°F (20.5%). This positioning stems from recent scattered storms over the April 11-12 weekend—accompanied by marginal severe risks on April 13—including damaging winds and excessive rainfall north of US-59, now giving way to building high pressure from the east and southerly winds of 10-20 knots advecting humid Gulf air. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) show spread due to uncertain cloud cover and late-day heating potential above April's climatological average of 79°F, with overnight updates likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 14?
82-83°F 33%
84°F or higher 22%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
33%
84°F or higher
22%
82-83°F 33%
84°F or higher 22%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 8%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
33%
84°F or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office project a daytime high near 80°F on April 14 under mostly cloudy skies with 20-70% chances of showers and thunderstorms, driving trader consensus toward nearby bins like 82-83°F (35% implied probability) and 80-81°F (20.5%). This positioning stems from recent scattered storms over the April 11-12 weekend—accompanied by marginal severe risks on April 13—including damaging winds and excessive rainfall north of US-59, now giving way to building high pressure from the east and southerly winds of 10-20 knots advecting humid Gulf air. Ensemble models (GFS, ECMWF) show spread due to uncertain cloud cover and late-day heating potential above April's climatological average of 79°F, with overnight updates likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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