Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 14?
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
8%
88°F or higher
4%
82-83°F 34%
78-79°F 30%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 8%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
69°F or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$89 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$56 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$28 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$47 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$73 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$6 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$4 Vol.
8%
88°F or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$459終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$459終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an even split for Miami's April 14 high temperature, with 88°F or higher leading at 50% implied probability alongside strong support for 82-85°F bins around 36-38%, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Latest NWS Miami forecast discussions highlight persistent easterly winds of 15-20 knots moderating highs near 81°F amid isolated showers and sea breeze influences, following a wet early April with heavy rain and thunderstorms totaling 3-6 inches in spots. However, recent 00Z model runs suggest ridge strengthening could suppress clouds and boost subsidence, pushing temperatures above the 83°F climatological normal if winds ease; watch Sunday evening updates for refined sea surface temperature advection from the warm Gulf Stream (~78°F).
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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