Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 10-12°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds and reflecting trader consensus on a cool spring pattern driven by a lingering polar vortex core and northern high-pressure influences over the past week. Recent model runs indicate slight divergence: warmer outcomes (13°C+) hinge on clearing skies and southerly flow allowing diurnal heating, while cooler ones (below 10°C) stem from persistent cloud cover, easterly winds up to 10 m/s, or delayed frontal passages suppressing maxima. Mid-April climatology averages 10-12°C, but short-term uncertainty persists ahead of daily updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center; watch 00Z runs for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on April 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 14?
11°C 32%
13°C 27%
10°C 19%
12°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
6°C or below
11%
7°C
10%
8°C
11%
9°C
15%
10°C
19%
11°C
32%
12°C
19%
13°C
27%
14°C
11%
15°C
10%
16°C or higher
9%
11°C 32%
13°C 27%
10°C 19%
12°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
6°C or below
$21 Vol.
11%
7°C
$0 Vol.
10%
8°C
$0 Vol.
11%
9°C
$2 Vol.
15%
10°C
$2 Vol.
19%
11°C
$9 Vol.
32%
12°C
$2 Vol.
19%
13°C
$2 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$2 Vol.
10%
16°C or higher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 10-12°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds and reflecting trader consensus on a cool spring pattern driven by a lingering polar vortex core and northern high-pressure influences over the past week. Recent model runs indicate slight divergence: warmer outcomes (13°C+) hinge on clearing skies and southerly flow allowing diurnal heating, while cooler ones (below 10°C) stem from persistent cloud cover, easterly winds up to 10 m/s, or delayed frontal passages suppressing maxima. Mid-April climatology averages 10-12°C, but short-term uncertainty persists ahead of daily updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center; watch 00Z runs for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
音量
$38終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 10-12°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds and reflecting trader consensus on a cool spring pattern driven by a lingering polar vortex core and northern high-pressure influences over the past week. Recent model runs indicate slight divergence: warmer outcomes (13°C+) hinge on clearing skies and southerly flow allowing diurnal heating, while cooler ones (below 10°C) stem from persistent cloud cover, easterly winds up to 10 m/s, or delayed frontal passages suppressing maxima. Mid-April climatology averages 10-12°C, but short-term uncertainty persists ahead of daily updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center; watch 00Z runs for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$38終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:43 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from leading models like ECMWF and GFS show Moscow's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 10-12°C, mirroring the tight market-implied odds and reflecting trader consensus on a cool spring pattern driven by a lingering polar vortex core and northern high-pressure influences over the past week. Recent model runs indicate slight divergence: warmer outcomes (13°C+) hinge on clearing skies and southerly flow allowing diurnal heating, while cooler ones (below 10°C) stem from persistent cloud cover, easterly winds up to 10 m/s, or delayed frontal passages suppressing maxima. Mid-April climatology averages 10-12°C, but short-term uncertainty persists ahead of daily updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center; watch 00Z runs for shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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