Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
21°C 32%
20°C 25%
22°C 23%
24°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
18°C or below
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
25%
21°C
32%
22°C
23%
23°C
16%
24°C
12%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
3%
21°C 32%
20°C 25%
22°C 23%
24°C 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
18°C or below
$887 Vol.
4%
19°C
$188 Vol.
7%
20°C
$32 Vol.
25%
21°C
$21 Vol.
32%
22°C
$131 Vol.
23%
23°C
$21 Vol.
16%
24°C
$365 Vol.
12%
25°C
$31 Vol.
2%
26°C
$124 Vol.
1%
27°C
$140 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$147 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
音量
$2,087終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$2,087終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 20-22°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast pinning a 21°C high amid southerly winds and partly cloudy skies, following a cooler 18°C projection for April 13. Global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles show a mean near 21°C with a narrow spread of 19-23°C, capturing spring transitional uncertainty from variable cold front remnants, cloud cover modulating solar insolation, and urban heat effects in Beijing. Mid-April climatology averages 20-22°C highs, supporting the market's 79% implied probability for this range. New 12Z model runs on April 13 could refine trajectories based on upper-air patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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