Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Busan on April 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 14?
17°C 33%
19°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
14°C or below
7%
15°C
8%
16°C
11%
17°C
20%
18°C
31%
19°C
21%
20°C
18%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
8%
17°C 33%
19°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
14°C or below
$15 Vol.
7%
15°C
$10 Vol.
8%
16°C
$10 Vol.
11%
17°C
$10 Vol.
20%
18°C
$6 Vol.
31%
19°C
$10 Vol.
21%
20°C
$5 Vol.
18%
21°C
$10 Vol.
8%
22°C
$10 Vol.
7%
23°C
$10 Vol.
7%
24°C or higher
$10 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
音量
$105終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$105終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETLatest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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