Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to a highest temperature of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 13, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 12°C amid building high-pressure ridging over European Russia. This follows a recent cold snap, with observed highs near 4°C at Vnukovo Airport on April 10, but warming trends align with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C daytime maximums under typical springtime advection of milder Atlantic air. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance supports this outlook, though inherent model uncertainty persists—scenarios like an unexpected Arctic air intrusion or shortwave trough could suppress highs below 10°C, as seen in volatile early April patterns. Watch for overnight forecast updates from leading models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.0%
9°C 2.7%
8°C 1.1%
$12,765 Vol.
$12,765 Vol.
2026/04/13
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
4%
11°C or higher
92%
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 4.0%
9°C 2.7%
8°C 1.1%
$12,765 Vol.
$12,765 Vol.
2026/04/13
1°C or below
$797 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$1,829 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$1,643 Vol.
1%
4°C
$1,463 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$1,243 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$980 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$570 Vol.
1%
9°C
$724 Vol.
3%
10°C
$821 Vol.
4%
11°C or higher
$1,422 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to a highest temperature of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 13, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 12°C amid building high-pressure ridging over European Russia. This follows a recent cold snap, with observed highs near 4°C at Vnukovo Airport on April 10, but warming trends align with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C daytime maximums under typical springtime advection of milder Atlantic air. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance supports this outlook, though inherent model uncertainty persists—scenarios like an unexpected Arctic air intrusion or shortwave trough could suppress highs below 10°C, as seen in volatile early April patterns. Watch for overnight forecast updates from leading models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$12,765終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to a highest temperature of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 13, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 12°C amid building high-pressure ridging over European Russia. This follows a recent cold snap, with observed highs near 4°C at Vnukovo Airport on April 10, but warming trends align with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C daytime maximums under typical springtime advection of milder Atlantic air. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance supports this outlook, though inherent model uncertainty persists—scenarios like an unexpected Arctic air intrusion or shortwave trough could suppress highs below 10°C, as seen in volatile early April patterns. Watch for overnight forecast updates from leading models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,765終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to a highest temperature of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 13, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 12°C amid building high-pressure ridging over European Russia. This follows a recent cold snap, with observed highs near 4°C at Vnukovo Airport on April 10, but warming trends align with mid-April climatological norms of 10–12°C daytime maximums under typical springtime advection of milder Atlantic air. Russian Hydrometeorological Center guidance supports this outlook, though inherent model uncertainty persists—scenarios like an unexpected Arctic air intrusion or shortwave trough could suppress highs below 10°C, as seen in volatile early April patterns. Watch for overnight forecast updates from leading models.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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