Latest INMET forecasts and real-time observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (GRU/SBGR)—the market's resolution source—project a daily high of 25°C under a stable high-pressure system bringing partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-100% implied probability. Current midday readings near 21-23°C at urban stations like Mirante de Santana, combined with hourly model consensus showing peak heating around mid-afternoon before evening cooling, support this positioning amid April's typical autumnal averages of 25-26°C. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no significant frontal activity, minimizing upside risk. A realistic challenge would require prolonged sunshine eroding cloud cover for late-day intensification to 26°C+, though divergent model runs deem this unlikely; final observations expected by midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,944 Vol.
$69,944 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,944 Vol.
$69,944 Vol.
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest INMET forecasts and real-time observations from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (GRU/SBGR)—the market's resolution source—project a daily high of 25°C under a stable high-pressure system bringing partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with trader consensus at near-100% implied probability. Current midday readings near 21-23°C at urban stations like Mirante de Santana, combined with hourly model consensus showing peak heating around mid-afternoon before evening cooling, support this positioning amid April's typical autumnal averages of 25-26°C. Recent 24-hour updates confirm no significant frontal activity, minimizing upside risk. A realistic challenge would require prolonged sunshine eroding cloud cover for late-day intensification to 26°C+, though divergent model runs deem this unlikely; final observations expected by midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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