Latest forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services, including Climatempo, project a high temperature of 27°C in São Paulo on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with afternoon clouds, fueling the 43% market-implied probability for this outcome and 25% for 26°C. This aligns with early-April climatology, where daily highs average 26-27°C on the Saffir-Simpson transition into autumn, following a warm spell with 29°C recorded on April 4 amid elevated temperatures noted in INMET's monthly outlook. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on stable high-pressure conditions limiting extremes, though isolated showers could cap peaks lower; official INMET observations will resolve the market by day's end, with updates expected hourly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月12日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
4月12日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
27°C 43%
26℃ 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 8.0%
$23,717 Vol.
$23,717 Vol.
21℃以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
1%
25°C
8%
26℃
26%
27°C
43%
28°C
19%
29℃
4%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
<1%
27°C 43%
26℃ 26%
28°C 19%
25°C 8.0%
$23,717 Vol.
$23,717 Vol.
21℃以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
1%
25°C
8%
26℃
26%
27°C
43%
28°C
19%
29℃
4%
30℃
1%
31℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecasts from Brazilian meteorological services, including Climatempo, project a high temperature of 27°C in São Paulo on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with afternoon clouds, fueling the 43% market-implied probability for this outcome and 25% for 26°C. This aligns with early-April climatology, where daily highs average 26-27°C on the Saffir-Simpson transition into autumn, following a warm spell with 29°C recorded on April 4 amid elevated temperatures noted in INMET's monthly outlook. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on stable high-pressure conditions limiting extremes, though isolated showers could cap peaks lower; official INMET observations will resolve the market by day's end, with updates expected hourly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問