Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast projecting a 27°C high temperature in São Paulo on April 13 under few clouds and weak southeasterly winds, positioning 28°C or higher (46% implied probability) ahead amid clustered odds for 26°C (24%) and 27°C (22.5%). This stems from post-frontal clearing after heavy rains and cooler conditions (around 22-24°C) during a cold front from April 8-10, with INMET's April outlook signaling above-average temperatures and irregular rainfall favoring mild highs above the seasonal 25°C norm. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show similar consensus, though daily runs through April 12 could refine intensification potential from building high pressure; resolution hinges on finalized data from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月13日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
4月13日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
28℃以上 46%
26℃ 25%
27℃ 24%
25℃ 7.8%
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
3%
24℃
4%
25℃
8%
26℃
25%
27℃
24%
28℃以上
46%
28℃以上 46%
26℃ 25%
27℃ 24%
25℃ 7.8%
18℃以下
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
3%
24℃
4%
25℃
8%
26℃
25%
27℃
24%
28℃以上
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (INMET) forecast projecting a 27°C high temperature in São Paulo on April 13 under few clouds and weak southeasterly winds, positioning 28°C or higher (46% implied probability) ahead amid clustered odds for 26°C (24%) and 27°C (22.5%). This stems from post-frontal clearing after heavy rains and cooler conditions (around 22-24°C) during a cold front from April 8-10, with INMET's April outlook signaling above-average temperatures and irregular rainfall favoring mild highs above the seasonal 25°C norm. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show similar consensus, though daily runs through April 12 could refine intensification potential from building high pressure; resolution hinges on finalized data from São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport station.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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