Official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of around 14°C on April 10, confirming the 100% market-implied probability for "16°C or below" as traders locked in positions based on real-time hourly data releases. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after the early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, driven by a frontal boundary ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and suppressed solar insolation, consistent with UKMO ensemble forecast consensus predicting daytime highs in the mid-teens at best. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, verified station readings provide robust evidence; only an improbable data revision from quality-controlled archives could challenge resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in London on April 10?
Highest temperature in London on April 10?
16°C or below 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$292,187 Vol.
$292,187 Vol.
2026/04/10
16°C or below
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$292,187 Vol.
$292,187 Vol.
2026/04/10
16°C or below
$40,821 Vol.
100%
17°C
$95,989 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$14,922 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$21,652 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$21,028 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$16,954 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$17,145 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$12,716 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$14,027 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$13,162 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$23,771 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of around 14°C on April 10, confirming the 100% market-implied probability for "16°C or below" as traders locked in positions based on real-time hourly data releases. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after the early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, driven by a frontal boundary ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and suppressed solar insolation, consistent with UKMO ensemble forecast consensus predicting daytime highs in the mid-teens at best. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, verified station readings provide robust evidence; only an improbable data revision from quality-controlled archives could challenge resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$292,187終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of around 14°C on April 10, confirming the 100% market-implied probability for "16°C or below" as traders locked in positions based on real-time hourly data releases. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after the early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, driven by a frontal boundary ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and suppressed solar insolation, consistent with UKMO ensemble forecast consensus predicting daytime highs in the mid-teens at best. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, verified station readings provide robust evidence; only an improbable data revision from quality-controlled archives could challenge resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$292,187終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:08 AM ETOfficial Met Office observations from London City Airport—the market's resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of around 14°C on April 10, confirming the 100% market-implied probability for "16°C or below" as traders locked in positions based on real-time hourly data releases. This positioning stems from a sharp cooldown after the early April heatwave peaking at 26.6°C in Kew Gardens on April 8, driven by a frontal boundary ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and suppressed solar insolation, consistent with UKMO ensemble forecast consensus predicting daytime highs in the mid-teens at best. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, verified station readings provide robust evidence; only an improbable data revision from quality-controlled archives could challenge resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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