Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月10日のラゴスの最高気温は?
4月10日のラゴスの最高気温は?
35°C 100.0%
27℃以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29℃ <1%
$5,875 Vol.
$5,875 Vol.
27℃以下
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34°C
いいえ
35°C
はい
36℃
いいえ
37°C以上
いいえ
35°C 100.0%
27℃以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29℃ <1%
$5,875 Vol.
$5,875 Vol.
27℃以下
いいえ
28°C
いいえ
29℃
いいえ
30°C
いいえ
31℃
いいえ
32℃
いいえ
33°C
いいえ
34°C
いいえ
35°C
はい
36℃
いいえ
37°C以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 35°C on April 10, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on Polymarket with 100% implied probability for this outcome. NiMet's pre-event forecast accurately predicted thunderstorms and moderate rains over Lagos, which increased cloud cover and suppressed daytime heating despite lingering hot-season conditions—April averages hover around 32°C highs amid the transition to wetter patterns influenced by the West African Monsoon onset. Model consensus from NOAA and ECMWF aligned with these cooler outcomes, capping intensity below 36°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-hoc data revisions from sensor calibration issues or alternative station reports, though DNMM METARs represent authoritative ground truth with minimal uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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