Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 10°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport today with 100% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across IMGW observations, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles. Recent days saw daytime highs of 7–9°C under overcast skies and gusty northerly winds from a lingering cold air mass over Central Europe, with today's short-range forecasts converging on a peak of exactly 10°C amid persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This positioning stems from high-confidence nowcasting as the day advances, where observational data already shows midday temperatures hovering near the cap. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced insolation or early warm advection, though current synoptic patterns and model agreement make exceeding 10°C improbable; final data from the airport station will resolve post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 10?
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$124,408 Vol.
$124,408 Vol.
2026/04/10
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$124,408 Vol.
$124,408 Vol.
2026/04/10
10°C
$16,548 Vol.
100%
11°C
$9,361 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$7,333 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,651 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,591 Vol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$4,612 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 10°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport today with 100% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across IMGW observations, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles. Recent days saw daytime highs of 7–9°C under overcast skies and gusty northerly winds from a lingering cold air mass over Central Europe, with today's short-range forecasts converging on a peak of exactly 10°C amid persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This positioning stems from high-confidence nowcasting as the day advances, where observational data already shows midday temperatures hovering near the cap. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced insolation or early warm advection, though current synoptic patterns and model agreement make exceeding 10°C improbable; final data from the airport station will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
音量
$124,408終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 10°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport today with 100% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across IMGW observations, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles. Recent days saw daytime highs of 7–9°C under overcast skies and gusty northerly winds from a lingering cold air mass over Central Europe, with today's short-range forecasts converging on a peak of exactly 10°C amid persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This positioning stems from high-confidence nowcasting as the day advances, where observational data already shows midday temperatures hovering near the cap. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced insolation or early warm advection, though current synoptic patterns and model agreement make exceeding 10°C improbable; final data from the airport station will resolve post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$124,408終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 6, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 10°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport today with 100% implied probability, reflecting strong alignment across IMGW observations, ECMWF, and GFS model ensembles. Recent days saw daytime highs of 7–9°C under overcast skies and gusty northerly winds from a lingering cold air mass over Central Europe, with today's short-range forecasts converging on a peak of exactly 10°C amid persistent cloud cover limiting solar heating. This positioning stems from high-confidence nowcasting as the day advances, where observational data already shows midday temperatures hovering near the cap. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing for enhanced insolation or early warm advection, though current synoptic patterns and model agreement make exceeding 10°C improbable; final data from the airport station will resolve post-midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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