National Weather Service forecast models for Houston project a high temperature of around 79°F on April 12, driven by persistent upper-level ridging and warm southerly flow, aligning with April climatological averages of 78–82°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. This strong model consensus, showing minimal spread across ensembles, underpins the 95.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in sustained sunny skies and highs well above the threshold amid recent warm trends through early April. Realistic challenges include an unexpected weak cold front or enhanced cloud cover from isolated showers boosting rain chances to 50–70%, though current guidance indicates low risk; updated model runs overnight could refine this outlook prior to resolution based on official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
74°F or higher 96.0%
72-73°F 2.5%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$15,467 Vol.
$15,467 Vol.
2026/04/12
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
3%
74°F or higher
96%
74°F or higher 96.0%
72-73°F 2.5%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$15,467 Vol.
$15,467 Vol.
2026/04/12
55°F or below
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,656 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$1,219 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,263 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,143 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$830 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,070 Vol.
3%
74°F or higher
$2,329 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models for Houston project a high temperature of around 79°F on April 12, driven by persistent upper-level ridging and warm southerly flow, aligning with April climatological averages of 78–82°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. This strong model consensus, showing minimal spread across ensembles, underpins the 95.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in sustained sunny skies and highs well above the threshold amid recent warm trends through early April. Realistic challenges include an unexpected weak cold front or enhanced cloud cover from isolated showers boosting rain chances to 50–70%, though current guidance indicates low risk; updated model runs overnight could refine this outlook prior to resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
音量
$15,467終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models for Houston project a high temperature of around 79°F on April 12, driven by persistent upper-level ridging and warm southerly flow, aligning with April climatological averages of 78–82°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. This strong model consensus, showing minimal spread across ensembles, underpins the 95.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in sustained sunny skies and highs well above the threshold amid recent warm trends through early April. Realistic challenges include an unexpected weak cold front or enhanced cloud cover from isolated showers boosting rain chances to 50–70%, though current guidance indicates low risk; updated model runs overnight could refine this outlook prior to resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15,467終了日
2026/04/12マーケット開始日
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETNational Weather Service forecast models for Houston project a high temperature of around 79°F on April 12, driven by persistent upper-level ridging and warm southerly flow, aligning with April climatological averages of 78–82°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. This strong model consensus, showing minimal spread across ensembles, underpins the 95.8% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher, reflecting trader confidence in sustained sunny skies and highs well above the threshold amid recent warm trends through early April. Realistic challenges include an unexpected weak cold front or enhanced cloud cover from isolated showers boosting rain chances to 50–70%, though current guidance indicates low risk; updated model runs overnight could refine this outlook prior to resolution based on official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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