National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on April 11, 2026, project afternoon highs of 77-82°F across the metro area, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus showing a stable warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure influence—driving the market's 98% implied probability for 76°F or higher. Current morning observations near 74°F under mostly cloudy skies support this trajectory, consistent with recent days' highs like 81°F on April 9 and climatological April averages around 78°F. Scattered showers (50-70% daytime chance) introduce minor uncertainty, potentially capping peaks via cloud cover if heavier than modeled, though model guidance indicates limited impact; real-time observations through late afternoon will refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official airport station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 11?
76°F or higher 98.4%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$22,956 Vol.
$22,956 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
98%
76°F or higher 98.4%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$22,956 Vol.
$22,956 Vol.
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on April 11, 2026, project afternoon highs of 77-82°F across the metro area, aligning with GFS and ECMWF ensemble consensus showing a stable warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure influence—driving the market's 98% implied probability for 76°F or higher. Current morning observations near 74°F under mostly cloudy skies support this trajectory, consistent with recent days' highs like 81°F on April 9 and climatological April averages around 78°F. Scattered showers (50-70% daytime chance) introduce minor uncertainty, potentially capping peaks via cloud cover if heavier than modeled, though model guidance indicates limited impact; real-time observations through late afternoon will refine trader sentiment ahead of resolution based on official airport station data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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