Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 will likely peak around 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain chances, driving trader consensus with 18°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C (29.5%) and 21°C (26.0%). A recent cold frontal passage over April 11-12 cooled highs from 25°C on April 10 to 18°C on the 11th and below 17°C expected today, suppressing daytime heating via increased cloudiness and northerly winds. This aligns with April climatological norms of 18-19°C averages, though partial clearing could elevate readings; new evening forecast updates from CMA may refine probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 14?
19°C 27%
20°C 22%
18°C 20%
21°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
4%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
13%
18°C
20%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C
19%
22°C
6%
23°C or higher
6%
19°C 27%
20°C 22%
18°C 20%
21°C 19%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
13°C or below
$461 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$642 Vol.
4%
15°C
$8 Vol.
6%
16°C
$79 Vol.
7%
17°C
$78 Vol.
13%
18°C
$18 Vol.
20%
19°C
$18 Vol.
27%
20°C
$30 Vol.
22%
21°C
$14 Vol.
19%
22°C
$16 Vol.
6%
23°C or higher
$84 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 will likely peak around 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain chances, driving trader consensus with 18°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C (29.5%) and 21°C (26.0%). A recent cold frontal passage over April 11-12 cooled highs from 25°C on April 10 to 18°C on the 11th and below 17°C expected today, suppressing daytime heating via increased cloudiness and northerly winds. This aligns with April climatological norms of 18-19°C averages, though partial clearing could elevate readings; new evening forecast updates from CMA may refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
音量
$1,447終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 will likely peak around 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain chances, driving trader consensus with 18°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C (29.5%) and 21°C (26.0%). A recent cold frontal passage over April 11-12 cooled highs from 25°C on April 10 to 18°C on the 11th and below 17°C expected today, suppressing daytime heating via increased cloudiness and northerly winds. This aligns with April climatological norms of 18-19°C averages, though partial clearing could elevate readings; new evening forecast updates from CMA may refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,447終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:25 AM ETLatest China Meteorological Administration forecasts and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 14 will likely peak around 18-20°C under persistent cloud cover and light rain chances, driving trader consensus with 18°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed closely by 20°C (29.5%) and 21°C (26.0%). A recent cold frontal passage over April 11-12 cooled highs from 25°C on April 10 to 18°C on the 11th and below 17°C expected today, suppressing daytime heating via increased cloudiness and northerly winds. This aligns with April climatological norms of 18-19°C averages, though partial clearing could elevate readings; new evening forecast updates from CMA may refine probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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