Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 32°C on April 15, closely trailed by 31°C and 33°C at 26% each, reflecting the latest BMKG forecast of light to moderate rain across DKI Jakarta with daytime ranges of 23–30°C and 70–98% precipitation odds suppressing peaks under persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Recent observations—31°C on April 12 and 32°C on April 4 amid partly cloudy conditions—alongside April climatological averages near 32°C in the tropical maritime climate, position these as frontrunners despite conservative model outputs. ENSO-neutral status sustains typical variability, but urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty; real-time BMKG station data will clarify the peak by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 26%
34°C or higher 7%
$17,708 Vol.
$17,708 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
7%
32°C 37%
31°C 27%
33°C 26%
34°C or higher 7%
$17,708 Vol.
$17,708 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
27%
32°C
37%
33°C
26%
34°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching 32°C on April 15, closely trailed by 31°C and 33°C at 26% each, reflecting the latest BMKG forecast of light to moderate rain across DKI Jakarta with daytime ranges of 23–30°C and 70–98% precipitation odds suppressing peaks under persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Recent observations—31°C on April 12 and 32°C on April 4 amid partly cloudy conditions—alongside April climatological averages near 32°C in the tropical maritime climate, position these as frontrunners despite conservative model outputs. ENSO-neutral status sustains typical variability, but urban heat island effects and potential afternoon clearing introduce uncertainty; real-time BMKG station data will clarify the peak by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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