Latest Met Office forecasts point to an overnight low around 12°C in London on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity up to 96%, and light rain easing after midnight, which trap heat and limit radiative cooling—aligning closely with trader consensus implying 41% odds for 11°C. This mild outlook follows April 14's observed 13°C minimum at Heathrow and a transition from early April's record 26.6°C warmth to unsettled frontal systems with southerly winds at 9 mph mixing in milder air. ECMWF model consensus supports 10–13°C clustering, with low probabilities for extremes due to absent clear skies; final observational updates from official monitoring will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?
4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?
11℃ 41.0%
12°C 18.6%
13°C 17%
10°C 16.0%
$30,093 Vol.
$30,093 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7℃
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
16%
11℃
41%
12°C
19%
13°C
17%
14℃
4%
15°C
1%
16°C以上
<1%
11℃ 41.0%
12°C 18.6%
13°C 17%
10°C 16.0%
$30,093 Vol.
$30,093 Vol.
6℃以下
<1%
7℃
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
16%
11℃
41%
12°C
19%
13°C
17%
14℃
4%
15°C
1%
16°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Met Office forecasts point to an overnight low around 12°C in London on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity up to 96%, and light rain easing after midnight, which trap heat and limit radiative cooling—aligning closely with trader consensus implying 41% odds for 11°C. This mild outlook follows April 14's observed 13°C minimum at Heathrow and a transition from early April's record 26.6°C warmth to unsettled frontal systems with southerly winds at 9 mph mixing in milder air. ECMWF model consensus supports 10–13°C clustering, with low probabilities for extremes due to absent clear skies; final observational updates from official monitoring will resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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