Market icon

4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?

Market icon

4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?

11℃ 41.0%

12°C 18.6%

13°C 17%

10°C 16.0%

Polymarket
新規

$30,093 Vol.

11℃ 41.0%

12°C 18.6%

13°C 17%

10°C 16.0%

Polymarket
新規

$30,093 Vol.

6℃以下

$1,375 Vol.

<1%

7℃

$1,016 Vol.

1%

8°C

$1,359 Vol.

1%

9°C

$4,153 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$2,530 Vol.

16%

11℃

$2,860 Vol.

41%

12°C

$3,667 Vol.

19%

13°C

$2,339 Vol.

17%

14℃

$805 Vol.

4%

15°C

$1,737 Vol.

1%

16°C以上

$8,253 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office forecasts point to an overnight low around 12°C in London on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity up to 96%, and light rain easing after midnight, which trap heat and limit radiative cooling—aligning closely with trader consensus implying 41% odds for 11°C. This mild outlook follows April 14's observed 13°C minimum at Heathrow and a transition from early April's record 26.6°C warmth to unsettled frontal systems with southerly winds at 9 mph mixing in milder air. ECMWF model consensus supports 10–13°C clustering, with low probabilities for extremes due to absent clear skies; final observational updates from official monitoring will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$30,093
終了日
2026/04/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Met Office forecasts point to an overnight low around 12°C in London on April 15, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity up to 96%, and light rain easing after midnight, which trap heat and limit radiative cooling—aligning closely with trader consensus implying 41% odds for 11°C. This mild outlook follows April 14's observed 13°C minimum at Heathrow and a transition from early April's record 26.6°C warmth to unsettled frontal systems with southerly winds at 9 mph mixing in milder air. ECMWF model consensus supports 10–13°C clustering, with low probabilities for extremes due to absent clear skies; final observational updates from official monitoring will resolve the market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$30,093
終了日
2026/04/15
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「11℃」で41%、次いで「12°C」が19%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?」は$30.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「11℃」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「12°C」で19%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月15日のロンドンの最低気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。