Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (36%) and 22°C (34.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and AccuWeather forecasts projecting peaks around 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light morning rain chances. Recent observations show variability—April 11 peaked at exactly 20°C during a cool spell, rebounding to 24°C on April 12—while mid-April climatology averages 23°C, tempered now by a lingering upper-level trough limiting solar insolation. The close split reflects model ensemble uncertainty: thicker persistent cloud cover and northeast winds favor 21°C, versus partial afternoon clearing for 22°C. Watch CMA's 12Z update and early airport readings for resolution-defining shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 15?
22°C 37%
21°C 31%
23°C 18%
20°C 8.4%
$23,461 Vol.
$23,461 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
31%
22°C
37%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 37%
21°C 31%
23°C 18%
20°C 8.4%
$23,461 Vol.
$23,461 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
31%
22°C
37%
23°C
18%
24°C
7%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 21°C (36%) and 22°C (34.5%) for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 15, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and AccuWeather forecasts projecting peaks around 21°C under partly cloudy skies with light morning rain chances. Recent observations show variability—April 11 peaked at exactly 20°C during a cool spell, rebounding to 24°C on April 12—while mid-April climatology averages 23°C, tempered now by a lingering upper-level trough limiting solar insolation. The close split reflects model ensemble uncertainty: thicker persistent cloud cover and northeast winds favor 21°C, versus partial afternoon clearing for 22°C. Watch CMA's 12Z update and early airport readings for resolution-defining shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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