Met Office forecasts indicate London's highest temperature on April 15 at 17°C, anchoring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on that outcome, as mild southwesterly winds deliver drier intervals amid cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat in Kew Gardens, driven by an advancing Atlantic frontal system introducing heavier afternoon rain and gusts up to 30 mph, which suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Forecasts from BBC Weather align at 17°C with light rain, though model uncertainty allows for 18°C if breaks lengthen or 16°C under persistent overcast—resolution hinges on official observations from Heathrow and central stations by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日のロンドンの最高気温は?
4月15日のロンドンの最高気温は?
17℃ 42%
18°C 28%
16°C 26%
19℃以上 5.3%
$119,787 Vol.
$119,787 Vol.
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
26%
17℃
42%
18°C
28%
19℃以上
5%
17℃ 42%
18°C 28%
16°C 26%
19℃以上 5.3%
$119,787 Vol.
$119,787 Vol.
9°C以下
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
26%
17℃
42%
18°C
28%
19℃以上
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office forecasts indicate London's highest temperature on April 15 at 17°C, anchoring trader consensus with 39.5% implied probability on that outcome, as mild southwesterly winds deliver drier intervals amid cloudy skies and scattered light rain. This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from early April's record 26.6°C heat in Kew Gardens, driven by an advancing Atlantic frontal system introducing heavier afternoon rain and gusts up to 30 mph, which suppress peaks via increased cloud cover and precipitation. Forecasts from BBC Weather align at 17°C with light rain, though model uncertainty allows for 18°C if breaks lengthen or 16°C under persistent overcast—resolution hinges on official observations from Heathrow and central stations by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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