Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 near 19-20°C under overcast skies and light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 19°C (41%) and 20°C or higher (39.5%). Following April 14's observed high around 17-18°C amid light rain from a recent cold air influence, partial recovery is expected as high-pressure builds, but persistent cloud cover limits solar heating and introduces 1-2°C uncertainty in boundary layer forecasts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance leans toward 21°C, yet global model consensus tempers expectations amid typical spring variability; new 12z runs today could refine odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
19°C 41%
20°C or higher 40%
18°C 10%
17°C 4.5%
新規
$60,880 Vol.
新規
$60,880 Vol.
2026/04/15
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
10%
19°C
41%
20°C or higher
40%
19°C 41%
20°C or higher 40%
18°C 10%
17°C 4.5%
新規
$60,880 Vol.
新規
$60,880 Vol.
2026/04/15
10°C or below
$4,487 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$11,673 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,822 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,494 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,257 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,795 Vol.
1%
17°C
$8,515 Vol.
5%
18°C
$8,178 Vol.
10%
19°C
$2,765 Vol.
41%
20°C or higher
$6,483 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 near 19-20°C under overcast skies and light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 19°C (41%) and 20°C or higher (39.5%). Following April 14's observed high around 17-18°C amid light rain from a recent cold air influence, partial recovery is expected as high-pressure builds, but persistent cloud cover limits solar heating and introduces 1-2°C uncertainty in boundary layer forecasts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance leans toward 21°C, yet global model consensus tempers expectations amid typical spring variability; new 12z runs today could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$60,880終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 near 19-20°C under overcast skies and light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 19°C (41%) and 20°C or higher (39.5%). Following April 14's observed high around 17-18°C amid light rain from a recent cold air influence, partial recovery is expected as high-pressure builds, but persistent cloud cover limits solar heating and introduces 1-2°C uncertainty in boundary layer forecasts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance leans toward 21°C, yet global model consensus tempers expectations amid typical spring variability; new 12z runs today could refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$60,880終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 near 19-20°C under overcast skies and light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader split between 19°C (41%) and 20°C or higher (39.5%). Following April 14's observed high around 17-18°C amid light rain from a recent cold air influence, partial recovery is expected as high-pressure builds, but persistent cloud cover limits solar heating and introduces 1-2°C uncertainty in boundary layer forecasts. Official China Meteorological Administration guidance leans toward 21°C, yet global model consensus tempers expectations amid typical spring variability; new 12z runs today could refine odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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