The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast projects a high temperature of 26–28°C in Mexico City on April 15, supported by model consensus from AccuWeather and The Weather Channel showing similar peaks around 26–28°C under clear skies and dominant high-pressure systems typical of the dry season. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's subtropical highland climate favors strong daytime solar heating, with April climatology averaging 26°C daily highs that rarely fall below 23°C historically. This drives the market-implied 99.4% probability for 19°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on unwavering warm conditions amid recent stable patterns observed on April 14. Realistic challenges include an anomalous cold air intrusion from the north or persistent cloud cover slashing insolation, though current ensemble forecasts show no such risks; official measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?
19°C or higher 99.4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$242,148 Vol.
$242,148 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
99%
19°C or higher 99.4%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
$242,148 Vol.
$242,148 Vol.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast projects a high temperature of 26–28°C in Mexico City on April 15, supported by model consensus from AccuWeather and The Weather Channel showing similar peaks around 26–28°C under clear skies and dominant high-pressure systems typical of the dry season. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's subtropical highland climate favors strong daytime solar heating, with April climatology averaging 26°C daily highs that rarely fall below 23°C historically. This drives the market-implied 99.4% probability for 19°C or higher, reflecting trader consensus on unwavering warm conditions amid recent stable patterns observed on April 14. Realistic challenges include an anomalous cold air intrusion from the north or persistent cloud cover slashing insolation, though current ensemble forecasts show no such risks; official measurements from Benito Juárez International Airport will resolve by day's end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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