Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 15?
21°C 41%
20°C 30%
22°C 23.2%
19°C 3.6%
新規
$90,350 Vol.
新規
$90,350 Vol.
2026/04/15
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
30%
21°C
41%
22°C
23%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
21°C 41%
20°C 30%
22°C 23.2%
19°C 3.6%
新規
$90,350 Vol.
新規
$90,350 Vol.
2026/04/15
17°C
$9,495 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$9,854 Vol.
1%
19°C
$7,165 Vol.
4%
20°C
$4,806 Vol.
30%
21°C
$4,836 Vol.
41%
22°C
$6,928 Vol.
23%
23°C
$6,474 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$8,025 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$90,350終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$90,350終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency (JMA) forecast models project Tokyo's highest temperature on April 15 at around 21°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and southerly winds, driving 40.5% trader consensus on that outcome alongside strong support for 20°C (24%) and 22°C (23.3%). Mid-April climatology typically sees highs of 19-21°C, with current ensemble guidance showing minimal deviation from norms amid clear skies and low precipitation risk. Recent observational data from April 13-14 confirm mild daytime readings in the upper teens, aligning with model runs updated yesterday. Inherent forecast uncertainty stems from potential afternoon cloudiness or sea breeze effects; traders await JMA's evening update for refinements before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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