Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Dallas's highest temperature on April 14, with market-implied odds nearly split at 51% for 82°F or higher versus 48.5% for 63°F or below, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting an 81°F high amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 p.m. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, potentially allowing boundary-layer mixing to push peaks above 82°F if convection holds off, but persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture—following 70% shower odds on April 12—could suppress daytime heating to the low 60s. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread on precipitation timing and coverage, with new 00Z runs expected overnight to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at official observing sites such as Dallas Love Field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月14日のダラスの最高気温は？
4月14日のダラスの最高気温は？
82°F以上 50%
80～81°F 28%
78〜79°F 22%
76〜77°F 12.7%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
63°F以下
1%
64〜65°F
1%
66〜67°F
1%
68〜69°F
2%
70〜71°F
1%
72〜73°F
2%
74～75°F
4%
76〜77°F
13%
78〜79°F
22%
80～81°F
28%
82°F以上
41%
82°F以上 50%
80～81°F 28%
78〜79°F 22%
76〜77°F 12.7%
新規
新規
2026/04/14
63°F以下
$141 Vol.
1%
64〜65°F
$112 Vol.
1%
66〜67°F
$112 Vol.
1%
68〜69°F
$80 Vol.
2%
70〜71°F
$94 Vol.
1%
72〜73°F
$78 Vol.
2%
74～75°F
$40 Vol.
4%
76〜77°F
$137 Vol.
13%
78〜79°F
$80 Vol.
22%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
28%
82°F以上
$40 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Dallas's highest temperature on April 14, with market-implied odds nearly split at 51% for 82°F or higher versus 48.5% for 63°F or below, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting an 81°F high amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 p.m. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, potentially allowing boundary-layer mixing to push peaks above 82°F if convection holds off, but persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture—following 70% shower odds on April 12—could suppress daytime heating to the low 60s. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread on precipitation timing and coverage, with new 00Z runs expected overnight to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at official observing sites such as Dallas Love Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$916終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Dallas's highest temperature on April 14, with market-implied odds nearly split at 51% for 82°F or higher versus 48.5% for 63°F or below, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting an 81°F high amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 p.m. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, potentially allowing boundary-layer mixing to push peaks above 82°F if convection holds off, but persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture—following 70% shower odds on April 12—could suppress daytime heating to the low 60s. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread on precipitation timing and coverage, with new 00Z runs expected overnight to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at official observing sites such as Dallas Love Field.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$916終了日
2026/04/14マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in Dallas's highest temperature on April 14, with market-implied odds nearly split at 51% for 82°F or higher versus 48.5% for 63°F or below, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting an 81°F high amid mostly cloudy skies and a 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1 p.m. Southerly winds at 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph will promote warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico, potentially allowing boundary-layer mixing to push peaks above 82°F if convection holds off, but persistent cloud cover from lingering moisture—following 70% shower odds on April 12—could suppress daytime heating to the low 60s. Forecast models like GFS and ECMWF show ensemble spread on precipitation timing and coverage, with new 00Z runs expected overnight to refine probabilities ahead of resolution at official observing sites such as Dallas Love Field.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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