Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in Los Angeles basin high temperatures for April 16, with 74°F or higher (25.5%) edging 68-69°F (24.0%) amid National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs near 69-72°F at key stations like LAX. This tight race stems from variable morning stratocumulus decks—fed by moderate onshore flow (5-10 knots) from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 58°F—which may persist and cap peaks near 68°F or burn off under weak high-pressure subsidence for 74°F+. April 13's observed 68°F high amid similar marine layer reinforces the baseline, while model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show spread on boundary-layer mixing. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS afternoon updates for shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 16?
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 19.0%
74°F or higher 16%
66-67°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
14%
74°F or higher
16%
68-69°F 22%
70-71°F 19.0%
74°F or higher 16%
66-67°F 15%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
55°F or below
$472 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$243 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$331 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$268 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$251 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$37 Vol.
4%
66-67°F
$23 Vol.
15%
68-69°F
$12 Vol.
22%
70-71°F
$114 Vol.
19%
72-73°F
$19 Vol.
14%
74°F or higher
$45 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in Los Angeles basin high temperatures for April 16, with 74°F or higher (25.5%) edging 68-69°F (24.0%) amid National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs near 69-72°F at key stations like LAX. This tight race stems from variable morning stratocumulus decks—fed by moderate onshore flow (5-10 knots) from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 58°F—which may persist and cap peaks near 68°F or burn off under weak high-pressure subsidence for 74°F+. April 13's observed 68°F high amid similar marine layer reinforces the baseline, while model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show spread on boundary-layer mixing. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS afternoon updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
音量
$1,718終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in Los Angeles basin high temperatures for April 16, with 74°F or higher (25.5%) edging 68-69°F (24.0%) amid National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs near 69-72°F at key stations like LAX. This tight race stems from variable morning stratocumulus decks—fed by moderate onshore flow (5-10 knots) from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 58°F—which may persist and cap peaks near 68°F or burn off under weak high-pressure subsidence for 74°F+. April 13's observed 68°F high amid similar marine layer reinforces the baseline, while model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show spread on boundary-layer mixing. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS afternoon updates for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,718終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in Los Angeles basin high temperatures for April 16, with 74°F or higher (25.5%) edging 68-69°F (24.0%) amid National Weather Service guidance pointing to highs near 69-72°F at key stations like LAX. This tight race stems from variable morning stratocumulus decks—fed by moderate onshore flow (5-10 knots) from cool Pacific sea surface temperatures around 58°F—which may persist and cap peaks near 68°F or burn off under weak high-pressure subsidence for 74°F+. April 13's observed 68°F high amid similar marine layer reinforces the baseline, while model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show spread on boundary-layer mixing. Watch 12Z model runs and NWS afternoon updates for shifts before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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