MetService's morning forecast for April 15 at Wellington International Airport projects a high of 17°C during afternoon hours under fine skies with scattered clouds, light northerlies turning southerly—capping warming potential after overnight lows near 12°C and current readings around 14°C. This aligns with trader consensus assigning 62.5% implied probability to 17°C, bolstered by yesterday's observed peak of 17.1°C and historical April averages of 16–18°C at the airport site, where coastal winds and autumn cooling often moderate peaks. The 36.5% on 18°C reflects minor model upside for sunnier breaks, but low odds for 19°C+ cite limited intensification drivers. Monitor hourly observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
4月15日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
17°C 74%
18℃ 31%
19°C 1.7%
20℃以上 <1%
$91,573 Vol.
$91,573 Vol.
17°C
74%
18℃
31%
19°C
2%
20℃以上
1%
17°C 74%
18℃ 31%
19°C 1.7%
20℃以上 <1%
$91,573 Vol.
$91,573 Vol.
17°C
74%
18℃
31%
19°C
2%
20℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's morning forecast for April 15 at Wellington International Airport projects a high of 17°C during afternoon hours under fine skies with scattered clouds, light northerlies turning southerly—capping warming potential after overnight lows near 12°C and current readings around 14°C. This aligns with trader consensus assigning 62.5% implied probability to 17°C, bolstered by yesterday's observed peak of 17.1°C and historical April averages of 16–18°C at the airport site, where coastal winds and autumn cooling often moderate peaks. The 36.5% on 18°C reflects minor model upside for sunnier breaks, but low odds for 19°C+ cite limited intensification drivers. Monitor hourly observations through late afternoon for resolution-defining data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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