Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 16, with 26–28°C outcomes at 50% implied probabilities driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance projecting maxima in the 26–28°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds around 14 km/h. Recent SMN updates as of April 14 show similar conditions persisting, with stable subsidence and low humidity favoring daytime heating at the high-elevation Benito Juárez International Airport site, where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing insolation by 1°C and model spreads (GFS/ECMWF consensus ~26°C), against historical April averages of 26°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected April 15 could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 16?
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
26°C 16%
27°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
10%
26°C
17%
27°C
16%
28°C
30%
29°C
37%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
26°C 16%
27°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
22°C or below
$236 Vol.
1%
23°C
$15 Vol.
2%
24°C
$20 Vol.
7%
25°C
$4 Vol.
10%
26°C
$32 Vol.
17%
27°C
$58 Vol.
16%
28°C
$3 Vol.
30%
29°C
$8 Vol.
37%
30°C
$3 Vol.
12%
31°C
$8 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$15 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 16, with 26–28°C outcomes at 50% implied probabilities driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance projecting maxima in the 26–28°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds around 14 km/h. Recent SMN updates as of April 14 show similar conditions persisting, with stable subsidence and low humidity favoring daytime heating at the high-elevation Benito Juárez International Airport site, where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing insolation by 1°C and model spreads (GFS/ECMWF consensus ~26°C), against historical April averages of 26°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected April 15 could shift odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
音量
$401終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 16, with 26–28°C outcomes at 50% implied probabilities driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance projecting maxima in the 26–28°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds around 14 km/h. Recent SMN updates as of April 14 show similar conditions persisting, with stable subsidence and low humidity favoring daytime heating at the high-elevation Benito Juárez International Airport site, where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing insolation by 1°C and model spreads (GFS/ECMWF consensus ~26°C), against historical April averages of 26°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected April 15 could shift odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$401終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:19 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 16, with 26–28°C outcomes at 50% implied probabilities driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance projecting maxima in the 26–28°C range amid partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds around 14 km/h. Recent SMN updates as of April 14 show similar conditions persisting, with stable subsidence and low humidity favoring daytime heating at the high-elevation Benito Juárez International Airport site, where urban heat island effects can add 1–2°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially reducing insolation by 1°C and model spreads (GFS/ECMWF consensus ~26°C), against historical April averages of 26°C. New SMN bulletins and model runs expected April 15 could shift odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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