Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 16?
19°C 35%
18°C 21%
20°C 17%
17°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
13%
18°C
20%
19°C
35%
20°C
17%
21°C
12%
22°C or higher
5%
19°C 35%
18°C 21%
20°C 17%
17°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
12°C or below
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,313 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,255 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$226 Vol.
1%
16°C
$85 Vol.
9%
17°C
$109 Vol.
13%
18°C
$42 Vol.
20%
19°C
$36 Vol.
35%
20°C
$42 Vol.
17%
21°C
$44 Vol.
12%
22°C or higher
$344 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
音量
$4,579終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$4,579終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 7:23 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight 2-3°C spread in latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration models, projecting Shanghai's highest temperature on April 16 near 18°C under overcast skies with possible light rain and northerly winds limiting insolation. Recent developments over the past 48 hours show a cooling trend from cold air advection ahead of a weak frontal system, moderating earlier southerly warmth that pushed April 14-15 highs toward 20-21°C; this synoptic shift differentiates lower outcomes (16-17°C if persistent clouds) from slightly higher ones (19°C with brief sun breaks). Historical April averages hover at 19°C, but current conditions favor below-normal temps; new 12Z model runs expected today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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