Trader consensus on Polymarket positions a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta at 38.5% implied probability for April 16, driven by BMKG forecasts indicating partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with highs around 30–32°C amid an early dry season onset, allowing greater solar insolation despite high humidity near 90–95%. Recent observations show April 14–15 peaks near 32°C under similar variable cloudiness, with AccuWeather models projecting 32–33°C (90°F high) on the 16th, potentially amplified by urban heat island effects in key stations like Halim. Afternoon thunderstorms pose downside risk to cap intensities, while sustained weak winds favor the upper 32–34°C cluster (combined ~38%); final BMKG hourly updates and observations will sharpen resolution by evening. Historical April baselines average 31–32°C, but this transitional period elevates variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 16?
33°C 48%
32°C 26%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
16%
32°C
26%
33°C
40%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 48%
32°C 26%
34°C 18%
31°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
28°C or below
$231 Vol.
1%
29°C
$270 Vol.
2%
30°C
$15 Vol.
10%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$15 Vol.
40%
34°C
$27 Vol.
18%
35°C
$5 Vol.
10%
36°C
$10 Vol.
5%
37°C
$261 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$196 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta at 38.5% implied probability for April 16, driven by BMKG forecasts indicating partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with highs around 30–32°C amid an early dry season onset, allowing greater solar insolation despite high humidity near 90–95%. Recent observations show April 14–15 peaks near 32°C under similar variable cloudiness, with AccuWeather models projecting 32–33°C (90°F high) on the 16th, potentially amplified by urban heat island effects in key stations like Halim. Afternoon thunderstorms pose downside risk to cap intensities, while sustained weak winds favor the upper 32–34°C cluster (combined ~38%); final BMKG hourly updates and observations will sharpen resolution by evening. Historical April baselines average 31–32°C, but this transitional period elevates variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
音量
$1,031終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta at 38.5% implied probability for April 16, driven by BMKG forecasts indicating partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with highs around 30–32°C amid an early dry season onset, allowing greater solar insolation despite high humidity near 90–95%. Recent observations show April 14–15 peaks near 32°C under similar variable cloudiness, with AccuWeather models projecting 32–33°C (90°F high) on the 16th, potentially amplified by urban heat island effects in key stations like Halim. Afternoon thunderstorms pose downside risk to cap intensities, while sustained weak winds favor the upper 32–34°C cluster (combined ~38%); final BMKG hourly updates and observations will sharpen resolution by evening. Historical April baselines average 31–32°C, but this transitional period elevates variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,031終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket positions a 33°C high temperature in Jakarta at 38.5% implied probability for April 16, driven by BMKG forecasts indicating partly cloudy to cloudy conditions with highs around 30–32°C amid an early dry season onset, allowing greater solar insolation despite high humidity near 90–95%. Recent observations show April 14–15 peaks near 32°C under similar variable cloudiness, with AccuWeather models projecting 32–33°C (90°F high) on the 16th, potentially amplified by urban heat island effects in key stations like Halim. Afternoon thunderstorms pose downside risk to cap intensities, while sustained weak winds favor the upper 32–34°C cluster (combined ~38%); final BMKG hourly updates and observations will sharpen resolution by evening. Historical April baselines average 31–32°C, but this transitional period elevates variability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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