Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today under a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea and subsidence from an aloft anticyclone fostering mainly sunny periods and hot conditions with minimums around 25°C. This aligns trader consensus, pricing 29°C at 47.5% implied probability and 28°C at 35%, reflecting yesterday's urban station highs near 28-29°C at HKO headquarters while inland sites like Ta Kwu Ling reached 31°C. The 19.5% on 30°C or higher accounts for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating amid low precipitation risk (65-90% humidity, south winds force 3). Above-normal April temperatures per seasonal outlooks add context, though intraday observations from King's Park and other stations will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 15?
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C or higher 27%
27°C 1.3%
新規
$73,346 Vol.
新規
$73,346 Vol.
2026/04/15
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
29%
29°C
43%
30°C or higher
27%
29°C 43%
28°C 29%
30°C or higher 27%
27°C 1.3%
新規
$73,346 Vol.
新規
$73,346 Vol.
2026/04/15
20°C or below
$3,292 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,036 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,980 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,476 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,982 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$21,678 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13,677 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5,606 Vol.
29%
29°C
$4,744 Vol.
43%
30°C or higher
$6,930 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today under a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea and subsidence from an aloft anticyclone fostering mainly sunny periods and hot conditions with minimums around 25°C. This aligns trader consensus, pricing 29°C at 47.5% implied probability and 28°C at 35%, reflecting yesterday's urban station highs near 28-29°C at HKO headquarters while inland sites like Ta Kwu Ling reached 31°C. The 19.5% on 30°C or higher accounts for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating amid low precipitation risk (65-90% humidity, south winds force 3). Above-normal April temperatures per seasonal outlooks add context, though intraday observations from King's Park and other stations will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
音量
$73,346終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today under a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea and subsidence from an aloft anticyclone fostering mainly sunny periods and hot conditions with minimums around 25°C. This aligns trader consensus, pricing 29°C at 47.5% implied probability and 28°C at 35%, reflecting yesterday's urban station highs near 28-29°C at HKO headquarters while inland sites like Ta Kwu Ling reached 31°C. The 19.5% on 30°C or higher accounts for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating amid low precipitation risk (65-90% humidity, south winds force 3). Above-normal April temperatures per seasonal outlooks add context, though intraday observations from King's Park and other stations will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$73,346終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, updated early on April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 29°C today under a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea and subsidence from an aloft anticyclone fostering mainly sunny periods and hot conditions with minimums around 25°C. This aligns trader consensus, pricing 29°C at 47.5% implied probability and 28°C at 35%, reflecting yesterday's urban station highs near 28-29°C at HKO headquarters while inland sites like Ta Kwu Ling reached 31°C. The 19.5% on 30°C or higher accounts for potential intensification from prolonged solar heating amid low precipitation risk (65-90% humidity, south winds force 3). Above-normal April temperatures per seasonal outlooks add context, though intraday observations from King's Park and other stations will refine outcomes as the day progresses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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