Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
28°C 36%
29°C 35%
30°C or higher 21%
27°C 14%
新規
$10,283 Vol.
新規
$10,283 Vol.
2026/04/16
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
36%
29°C
35%
30°C or higher
21%
28°C 36%
29°C 35%
30°C or higher 21%
27°C 14%
新規
$10,283 Vol.
新規
$10,283 Vol.
2026/04/16
20°C or below
$1,814 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,556 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,804 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,756 Vol.
1%
24°C
$421 Vol.
1%
25°C
$839 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,027 Vol.
7%
27°C
$380 Vol.
14%
28°C
$219 Vol.
36%
29°C
$210 Vol.
35%
30°C or higher
$268 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$10,283終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,283終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest forecast, issued early on April 15, projects a 25–29°C temperature range for April 16 under a southerly airstream and anticyclone aloft, fostering sunny periods and hot daytime conditions with south winds at force 3. This drives trader consensus toward 28°C (36%) and 29°C (32%), reflecting model-implied peaks near the urban Observatory site amid ample solar heating and low probability of significant rain. Differentiation hinges on cloud variability and urban heat effects, potentially capping at 28°C if partial cloudiness persists or nudging to 29°C with prolonged sunshine; 30°C or higher (17.5%) remains plausible but lower odds due to historical April baselines around 26°C and minor evening showers. Updated guidance expected midday April 16.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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