Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on April 16?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 16?
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
29°C or below
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
18%
32°C
22%
33°C
40%
34°C
20%
35°C
10%
36°C
9%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 22%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/16
29°C or below
$61 Vol.
4%
30°C
$34 Vol.
8%
31°C
$12 Vol.
18%
32°C
$6 Vol.
22%
33°C
$13 Vol.
40%
34°C
$12 Vol.
20%
35°C
$10 Vol.
10%
36°C
$5 Vol.
9%
37°C
$219 Vol.
1%
38°C
$350 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$335 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
音量
$1,059終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$1,059終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 14, 2026, 6:40 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Panama City, Florida's highest temperature on April 16, with ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts clustering implied probabilities around 32–34°C (90–93°F) amid a strengthening upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime solar heating. Recent developments include above-average highs over the past week—reaching near 29°C on April 13—driven by persistent high pressure and low humidity reducing evaporative cooling, differentiating outcomes by potential sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development. National Weather Service updates expected tomorrow could refine land surface model inputs on soil moisture and urban heat effects, key variables in 1–2°C peak variations typical for mid-April when climatological averages hover near 25°C but anomalies push extremes higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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