Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at 93.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model consensus projecting daytime peaks around 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with low rain risk. April climatology in this tropical lowland location supports this, with average highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F) and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C due to persistent solar insolation and high humidity near 80%, as per long-term NOAA and regional data. Recent 24-hour updates from aggregated models like GFS and ECMWF show no intrusion of cooler air masses or significant convective activity to alter this pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of patchy showers during the dry-to-wet season transition, potentially capping temperatures at 31°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; final observations from local stations like Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 15?
32°C or higher 93%
31°C 4.4%
30°C 1.9%
29°C <1%
新規
$10,878 Vol.
新規
$10,878 Vol.
2026/04/15
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
93%
32°C or higher 93%
31°C 4.4%
30°C 1.9%
29°C <1%
新規
$10,878 Vol.
新規
$10,878 Vol.
2026/04/15
22°C or below
$2,949 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$284 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$298 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$440 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$406 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$508 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,285 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,336 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$1,388 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at 93.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model consensus projecting daytime peaks around 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with low rain risk. April climatology in this tropical lowland location supports this, with average highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F) and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C due to persistent solar insolation and high humidity near 80%, as per long-term NOAA and regional data. Recent 24-hour updates from aggregated models like GFS and ECMWF show no intrusion of cooler air masses or significant convective activity to alter this pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of patchy showers during the dry-to-wet season transition, potentially capping temperatures at 31°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; final observations from local stations like Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
音量
$10,878終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at 93.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model consensus projecting daytime peaks around 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with low rain risk. April climatology in this tropical lowland location supports this, with average highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F) and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C due to persistent solar insolation and high humidity near 80%, as per long-term NOAA and regional data. Recent 24-hour updates from aggregated models like GFS and ECMWF show no intrusion of cooler air masses or significant convective activity to alter this pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of patchy showers during the dry-to-wet season transition, potentially capping temperatures at 31°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; final observations from local stations like Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,878終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 32°C or higher in Panama City, Panama, at 93.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast model consensus projecting daytime peaks around 33°C under partly cloudy conditions with low rain risk. April climatology in this tropical lowland location supports this, with average highs of 31–32°C (88–90°F) and daily maxima rarely dipping below 29°C due to persistent solar insolation and high humidity near 80%, as per long-term NOAA and regional data. Recent 24-hour updates from aggregated models like GFS and ECMWF show no intrusion of cooler air masses or significant convective activity to alter this pattern. Realistic challenges include unexpected intensification of patchy showers during the dry-to-wet season transition, potentially capping temperatures at 31°C, though current guidance deems this unlikely; final observations from local stations like Marcos A. Gelabert Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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