Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent trader analyses, project Jeddah's highest temperature at King Abdulaziz International Airport on April 15 around 34–36°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities—34°C at 33%, 35°C at 26.5%, and 36°C or higher at 22.5%. This spread reflects inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breeze moderation, variable low-level humidity over the Red Sea, and potential lingering dust aerosols reducing solar insolation after hazy conditions earlier in the week. April climatology averages highs near 35°C, with peak heating typically mid-afternoon under clear skies. Traders await final National Center for Meteorology updates and tomorrow's observational data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?
34°C 32%
35°C 27%
36°C or higher 22%
33°C 22%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
22%
34°C
32%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
22%
34°C 32%
35°C 27%
36°C or higher 22%
33°C 22%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
22%
34°C
32%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from the GFS and ECMWF models, as referenced in recent trader analyses, project Jeddah's highest temperature at King Abdulaziz International Airport on April 15 around 34–36°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering of implied probabilities—34°C at 33%, 35°C at 26.5%, and 36°C or higher at 22.5%. This spread reflects inherent short-term forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breeze moderation, variable low-level humidity over the Red Sea, and potential lingering dust aerosols reducing solar insolation after hazy conditions earlier in the week. April climatology averages highs near 35°C, with peak heating typically mid-afternoon under clear skies. Traders await final National Center for Meteorology updates and tomorrow's observational data for resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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